Daily Market Analysis from Investizo.com

Fundamental analysis AUD/USD for 08.05.2024

The Australian Dollar (AUD) has experienced significant fluctuations, primarily influenced by the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to maintain its interest rate at 4.35%. Despite the anticipation of a hawkish shift following unexpectedly high inflation figures, the RBA has maintained a cautious approach, citing the need for vigilance against inflation risks. Governor Michele Bullock underscored the necessity of maintaining current rates to guide inflation back to the target range of 2-3% by the latter half of 2025.

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Fundamental analysis Gold for 09.05.2024

Gold prices (XAU/USD) exhibit a cautiously positive trend this Thursday, influenced by a complex interplay of economic signals and geopolitical dynamics. Despite an absence of major economic news earlier in the week, gold faces resistance due to a robust U.S. dollar and anticipations of persistent high U.S. interest rates, evidenced by a 0.5% increase in the U.S. Dollar Index to 103.2. Recent hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins, New York Fed President John Williams, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, emphasize a prolonged period of high rates as inflation control remains a central focus. This stance is further reinforced by a downward adjustment in market expectations, with the probability of a September rate cut now reduced to just under 55%.

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